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May 26, 2005


Robert Daguillard

David, I think you do a good job of analyzing Angela Merkel's position. However, keep in mind that she probably would not be able to carry out anything like a radical free-market reform agenda even if she wanted to because Germans simply will not support even a mild version thereof.

Furthermore, I believe social and labor market policy now carries over into foreign policy in the sense that "neo-liberalism" is now seen as something "American." The problem is that the gulf between both sides of the Atlantic is so wide that any radical reform agenda in domestic policy or any far-reaching "Annaeherung" towards Washington in foreign policy will cost Merkel and the Christian-Democrats dearly.

If "Kanzlerin Merkel" disregards the dangers, look for the Social-Democrats to begin winning state elections with the speed and ease that characterized CDU/CSU triumphs in recent years!



I am not that optimistic about the SPD winning state elections anytime soon. It seems to me that they lack candidates with the charisma and political instincts of Schroeder. Maybe his long tenure has been damaging to the future of his party - kind of like Bill Clinton sucking all of the air out of the Democratic Party.

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